If Russia Wins

**THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER** A New Statesman Book of the Year A Le Monde Best Book of 2025 'Amazing ... My book of the year' Alastair Campbell, The Rest Is Politics 'So compelling ... So plausible' New Statesman 'Chilling' Financial Times 'Blistering' Economist ' A cracking book ... Reads like a thriller' Matt Frei, LBC March 2028: Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After victory in Ukraine, Putin's long-mooted encroachment into the Baltic states has begun. Europe's slow rearmament and its compromised military and intelligence capabilities is now clear for its enemies to exploit. Does Article 5 of NATO apply? What will the alliance decide? Will they risk nuclear war? In If Russia Wins , military expert and Professor of International Relations at the University of Munich, Carlo Masala explores these questions and underlines what is at stake in Ukraine in the starkest possible terms. For those of us who have only ever known peace, we are accustomed to everything turning out well in the end. But what if it doesn't? Translated from the German by Olena Ebel and Ruth Ahmedzai Kemp.

**THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER** A New Statesman Book of the Year A Le Monde Best Book of 2025 'Amazing ... My book of the year' Alastair Campbell, The Rest Is Politics 'So compelling ... So plausible' New Statesman 'Chilling' Financial Times 'Blistering' Economist ' A cracking book ... Reads like a thriller' Matt Frei, LBC March 2028: Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After victory in Ukraine, Putin's long-mooted encroachment into the Baltic states has begun. Europe's slow rearmament and its compromised military and intelligence capabilities is now clear for its enemies to exploit. Does Article 5 of NATO apply? What will the alliance decide? Will they risk nuclear war? In If Russia Wins , military expert and Professor of International Relations at the University of Munich, Carlo Masala explores these questions and underlines what is at stake in Ukraine in the starkest possible terms. For those of us who have only ever known peace, we are accustomed to everything turning out well in the end. But what if it doesn't? Translated from the German by Olena Ebel and Ruth Ahmedzai Kemp.

A New Statesman Book of the Year A #1 international bestseller from a NATO expert, this deeply researched and chillingly plausible scenario imagines what might happen should Putin defeat Ukraine and not stop there March 2028. Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After a victorious peace deal in Ukraine, Putin's long-mooted encroachment into the Baltic states has begun. What if Ukraine was only the beginning? What will the NATO alliance decide? Will they risk nuclear war? Day by day and hour by hour, renowned political scientist Carlo Masala plays out what might happen when the President of the United States is called on to uphold NATO's commitment to mutual defense, just as China's maneuvers in Asia provide Russia with the perfect cover. A timely, gripping, and thought-provoking scenario, If Russia Wins shows how our world order is poised on a knife-edge. In the United States, we are accustomed to everything working out in our favor, in the end. But what if it doesn't?

A New Statesman Book of the Year A #1 international bestseller from a NATO expert, this deeply researched and chillingly plausible scenario imagines what might happen should Putin defeat Ukraine and not stop there March 2028. Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After a victorious peace deal in Ukraine, Putin's long-mooted encroachment into the Baltic states has begun. What if Ukraine was only the beginning? What will the NATO alliance decide? Will they risk nuclear war? Day by day and hour by hour, renowned political scientist Carlo Masala plays out what might happen when the President of the United States is called on to uphold NATO's commitment to mutual defense, just as China's maneuvers in Asia provide Russia with the perfect cover. A timely, gripping, and thought-provoking scenario, If Russia Wins shows how our world order is poised on a knife-edge. In the United States, we are accustomed to everything working out in our favor, in the end. But what if it doesn't?